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Buffalo
QB- Buffalo's QB J.P.Losman is
getting there....kinda. For the first time in his short NFL
career, Losman started every game in 2006. Ranked just outside
of the top 15 last season, he should see a slight improvment,
but keep in mind Losman only had 3 games last year where he
threw for more than 250 yards. For now, Losman is around the
15th best QB, a middle of the pack guy who should be good for
220 yards & 1-2 scores per week.
RB-The Bills really want and
really need Marshawn Lynch to be the man. And if recent
history teaches us anything, it's that Buffalo will have a top
20 back. Over the last five years, Buffalo has had a 990+ yard
rusher. First Travis Henry and then Willis McGahee. Now with
Lynch, the Bills have another young back capable of
piling up the yards. With his college background Lynch is not
only a tough runner, but a top receiver. If Buffalo takes
advantages of his skills, Lynch could easily have 50
receptions. Backing up Lynch is the A-Train, Anthony Thomas.
Thomas will see a number of carries, but not enough to break
into the top 30. Still, if you draft Lynch, Thomas would make
a nice handcuff.
WR-Lee Evans is Buffalo's main
target and looks poised to be break into the elite receiver
status. Evans is in a one of our favorite positions for a wide
receiver...the only real option and a QB's main man. Evans
will struggle a little at times, because Losman is still
learning, but when he spikes, look for big numbers. Peerless
Price and Roscoe Parrish will see a few points but not enough
to threaten Evans or warrant a draft pick.
Miami
QB- For this year, and maybe the
forseeable future, Trent Green will be Miami's main trigger
man. The question is how long will he last. First, there's the
concussion thing from last year. He really, really got his
bell rung. His unborn grandchildren felt that one.Second,
there's his age. Trent is only one year younger than Farve and
has never had a lot
of mobility. Third, the Miami O-Line. These guys, more than
his bad leg, caused Dante to fall from grace. On a five step
drop the defense was waiting on Culpepper to get to them, and
Trent's not a lot better than Dante on a bad wheel. For my
money, I like Trent Green, hate him at Miami and will rank him
in the mid-teens.
RB-Ronnie Brown could be a
bargain. In 10 of the 13 games he played in, he put up double
digits. Too bad he just never had any really big games. Until
the middle of the season, his big game was 30 rushing yards,
30 receiving yards and 2 TDs. Good Fantasy points, but not too
sexy. That's one of the reasons Brown may be a bargain, he's
just not exciting. It looks like Brown should improve on this
#25 ranking and is a weekly double digit guy. Rookie Lorenzo
Booker could be interesting as he looks to fill Ricky Williams
role, spelling Brown from time to time.
WR-Quick, Miami's #1 Fantasy
receiver last season was....???? Marty Booker??? Right, Marty
outscored Chris Chambers as Miami's passing offense was in
turmoil most of the season. Don't expect that to happen again,
but don't be too surprised if Booker stays close. Both these
guys have some talent, but with questions around the Fins'
ability to pass block, I don't expect either of these guys to
be in the top 20. First rounder Ted Ginn, Jr will look really
good in a couple of years but has a ton to learn before he can
show off his talent on anything other than kick returns.
New England
QB- Tom is Terrific...kinda. Tom
Brady is a winner, a lock for the Hall of Fame, and a general
nice guy. Still, he's
not a top 3 Fantasy QB. Week in , week out, Brady is good for
225-250 yards and 1 to 2 TDS. Nice numbers, but not
eye-popping. In fact, that's pretty much been his M.O. over
the last 2 years, solid QB ranked around number 7.
And that's where he would be this year if not for a WR
upgrade. Bump Tom Terrific up a slot or two thanks to
his new found friends.
RB-Laurence Maroney is one of a
couple of backs that could vault into the top 5. With Corey
Dillon out of the picture,
Maroney should get all the carries. C'mon, do you think Sammy
Morris is gonna steal much from him? If he can stay healthy
Maroney should jump from the 26th to 5th or 6th. While he is a
bit of a risk, he's major rewards. But, before you draft him
with that 5th overal pick, take a close look at what's
happening with Justise Hairston. This Maroney clone could
steal Laurence's thunder...at least a little, if he can
overcome those rookie mistakes. Definitely someone to keep an
eye on.
WR-After a number of poorly timed
drops, the Pats have decided to pay attention to their WR
corp. Adding Randy Moss, Dante Stallworth, and Wes Welker,
along with Kelley Washington and the return of Troy
Brown, means last year's starters of Reche Caldwell & Jabar
Gaffney could be on the streets. The Gnome loves what the Pats
have done to upgrade their receivers, but is a little worried
about their fantasy value being over-inflated. First, Brady is
one of the best at spreading the ball around. Second, as
talented as they are, it's a safe bet that these guys will
miss 2-3 games, esecially Stallworth. Third, there's too much
hype on these guys, for someone not to draft them way too
early. If you must Moss is clearly the best, while Wes Welker,
could be worth a late round shot.
New York Jets
QB- For all those Chad Pennington
"Nay-Sayers", I guess Chad proved us wrong...KINDA. Chad set
career highs in Attempts, Completions, Yards, and oh yes
INTs. He finished the year as the 15th best fantasy QB, not
really that exciting. Respectable numbers for a backup and for
our money, that's about all he will be...a fantasy backup.
Still, if he cuts down on the INTs, and ups the TDs, he could
make top 12.
RB-Thomas Jones at the Jets could
be a nice fantasy match. The Jets averaged 30 rushing attempts
per game, similar to what he experienced with the Bears. The
Jets O-Line has another year under their belt, and Chad should
keep the defenses honest. Our best guess has Jones finishing
with 1400 total yards & 6-7 TDs. This would make him a nice #2
RB with at least a little upside. Plus, Jones normally sneaks
in under the fantasy radar. Leon Washington makes a nice
change of pace back and Cedric Houston will get a few touches,
but Jones is the man for the Jets, as long as he can stay
healthy.
WR-Wideout Jerricho Cotchery was
a real surprise last season for fantasy owners. Paired with
the Jets #1 WR, Laveranues Coles, this duo both ranked in the
top 25, a nice accomplishment given the doubts about their QB.
While Chad is a middle of the pack QB, what makes the guys
appealing is that no one else really threatens their
receptions. Almost 60% of the Jet's receptions went to one of
these two guys and that shouldn't change in 07. Look for both
to rank in the twenties.
Baltimore
QB- Air McNair proved to be just
what the Ravens needed, And the Ravens proved to be just what
McNair needed. MCNair threw for 3000 yards and 16 TDs which is
almost the same numbers he put up in Tennessee the year
before. Except he led the Ravens to 13 wins and a playoff
berth. McNair finished just inside the top 15 of Fantasy QBs
and with a strong running game and a solid defense, the same
can be expected in 2007. A top backup for most fantasy teams,
but probably not the guy you want as your number one QB.
RB-The Ravens have swapped out
Jamal Lewis for Willis McGahee in a move that will please most
Ravens fans. McGahee will bring the break away speed that
Jamal seemed to have lost, while still being able to carry the
ball 30 times a game. Granted, Willis has the same
health questions that Lewis had, but all in all, he's an
upgrade for a solid running attack and should finish in the
top 15 running backs.
WR-Most consider Derrick Mason to
be the Ravens number one wideout, but 3rd year WR Mark Clayton
was the number one fantasy option and the receiver with the
most upside. Clayton finished just inside the top 30 thanks to
his 5 TDs. In 2007, Clayton should have his first 1000 yard
season and should begin to take over the #1 role from Mason.
Still, don't expect too much because TE Todd Heap will steal
plenty of receptions from both Clayton and Mason.
Cincinnati
QB- While there were questions
about Carson Palmer's health at the start of last season, once
week 2 was over, it was full steam ahead. Carson threw for
4000 yards and 28 TDs and ranked in the top 5 of QBs. In 2007,
more of the same can be expected from Palmer, in fact, the TD
total should go up to the 30's. On negative, Palmer's average
per attempt drops a full yard in games without Chris Henry. We
wouldn't let that slow us down in drafting this guy...it just
means he'll get better as the season goes on.
RB-Rudi has been one of the most
consistent Fantasy runners over the last 3 years and a lock to
be a top 10 runner. For the 3rd year in a row, Rudi has put up
12 TDs and rushed for over 1300 yards. Rudi won't turn 28 till
October, so there's no reason he won't make it 4 years in a
row. As to the rest of the Bengals RBs, most really look to be
3rd down types, so it will be interesting how they use rookie
Kenny Irons.
WR-Ocho Cinco and T.J. Hous-your-mama
were only slightly behind Marvin and Reggie of the Colts as
the best tandem in Fantsy football. Keep in mind Chad didn't
score but 1 TD in the first 5 weeks, & T.J. sat out the 1st
two weeks of the season. With that in mind, it's easy to see
that these guys could easily be the top combo in the league.
And while Chad Johnson is a lock to be top 5, T.J. can't be
far behind, and he should come at a cheaper price. Either
way...get these guys if you can.
Cleveland
QB- For the Browns, the opening
day starter is a bit of a question, but the future is Brady
Quinn. Early money has Charlie Frye at the helm for a couple
of games, but it won't be long before the Browns are out of it
and then it will be Brady Quinn time. Quinn looks like the
next Joe Montana, but that maybe more of an off the field
comparison. In truth, Quinn is some one of interest in dynasty
leagues, but don't expect too much till 2009.
RB-Rueben Droughns couldn't quite
get the job done in Cleveland, will Jamal Lewis? Probably not
enough to rank in the top 25. Jamal still has a few good games
left and could even reach 800-900 yards, but don't expect a
major break out. After all Droughns only scored 6 TDs in 2
years with the Browns. There seems to be a little buzz on
second year back Jerome Harrison. Again a long shot unles your
in a dynasty league.
WR-Braylon Edwards would be ready
to make the move to stud WR if not for the QB issues the
Browns have had. How many QBs will he have to go through
before one sticks. Edwards had some really nice games and
finished in the top 30. If he were on a different team, it
might be top 15. As it is, draft him a little higher than 30
based on upside, but don't get carried away. His counterpart,
Joe Jurevicius missed a good part of last year, but is a top
50 WR. TE, Kellen Winslow had 89 receptions and is definitely
a top 10 TE.
Pittsburgh
QB- The 2006 season didn't turn
out to be exatly what Big Ben Roethlisberger had hoped for.
After the motorcycle & the appendix, Big Ben thought he had
things turned around. While he did set career highs in
attempts, completions, yards, and TDs, it was the first time
in his career that he was upside down in TDs to INTs, (18 TDs/23
INTs). Don't expect that to become a trend. Instead, we are
looking for Big Ben to have a breakout year from a Fantasy
point of view. It looks to be a safe bet that Ben will finish
in the top 10 of Fantasy QBs.
RB-Fast Willie Parker finished
the year with 1700 combined yards and 16 TDs. Ranked number 5
at the RB spot, Parker probably overachieved and shouldn't be
expected to put up the same kinda numbers. Granted the
Steelers will continue to run, and even may run more with
new head coach Mike Tomlin, but 16 Tds is too much to expect
with a pair of TD vultures like Najeh Davenport and Kevan
Barlow. Willie should total 1500 total yards, but the TDs
wont' be more than 8.
WR-As expected, Hines Ward was
the Steelers number 1 receiver, ranking just outside the top
20. For the second year in a row, Ward has put up 975
receiving yards. Expect at least 1000 yards in 07 if Ward
plays in at least 15 games. The guy to keep an eye on,
especially for dynasty leaguers is Santonio Holmes. This 2006
Rook started only 4 games, but averaged 16.8 yards per
reception and logged in over 800 receiving yards. Imagine
where he'll be in 2008/09. This is a stud in the making.
Houston
QB- The David Carr show has hit
the trail out of town, it's now the Matt Schaub Aerial Attack
(maybe). For 2007, Schaub will be man in Houston, the question
is how good will he be? Well, looking at the Texans last
season shows us a team that passed for over 3000 yards and 14
TDs. The O-line did a better job giving up only 43 sacks
(there were 8 teams worse). All in all, Carr finished last
season just outside the top 20 in Fantasy QBs, so Schaub
should improve on those numbers. A real nice pickup in Dynasty
leagues, Schaub shouldn't be counted on for more than a backup
role in 2007.
RB-Like the QB be spot, the
Texans will have a new runner in 2007, Ahman Green. When you
consider that the Texans actually out rushed the Packers last
season, this could be a good move for Green. Entering his 10th
season, and at the age of 30, Green has 1-2 years left, so he
won't be a long term solution. In fact, many will shy away
from him, making him a nice late pickup. We expect Green to
finish with 1000 yards and 6 TDs, which makes him a nice
number 3 RB, and someone worth drafting in the late middle
rounds. Also of mild interest is Ron Dayne, A definite late
rounder who could come in handy.
WR-For the Texans, Andre Johnson
is in our favorite WR position. The number one guy who must
catch a ton of passes to keep the team in the game. As the
only guy last year in the league with greater than 100
receptions, it's a safe bet, Houston will throw his way. YOu
can expect Johnson to place inside the top 15 and he has a
real shot at top 10. The Texans have not decided who will
start opposite of Johnson. Right now it's between little used
Kevin Walter & ancient veteran Keenan McCardell. While
McCardell may get the early nod, take Walter as a very late
pick.
Indianapolis
QB- Breaking down the Colts is
easy....if you can get one, do it. Peyton is clearly the top
QB and a top 5 player regardless of the position. With a games
started streak second only to Favre, you can count on Peyton
as an every down player. Add in that it seems certain he will
throw for 4000 yards and 30 TDs and you have one of the
league's top players and someone who can lead your Fantasy
team to the playoffs.
RB-Joseph Addai was the only
rookie RB over 1000 yards, and ranked just outside of the top
10. Not bad for a guy who wasn't even the starter. Now that
Rhodes is in Oakland, Addai should jump up 3-5 spots in the
ranking. A good solid number, at a minimum for Addai would be
1500 yards and 10 TDs....and that's at a minimum. Sure,
there's talk that the Colts will spell Addai, but the truth is
DeDe Dorsey has yet to record a carry in the NFL. He's worth
taking, but he's not really going to hurt Addai's numbers that
much. Think "the Edge" in his second year and draft Addai with
confidence.
WR-Marvin & Reggie were almost 1
& 2 in the WR rankings last season and should both finish in
the top 5 again. The only thing that hurts these guys are that
both are so good, it's hard to decide which has the greatest
value. Everyone knows of the bond between Peyton & Marvin and
as the Colts number 1, most expect him to outscore
Reggie. But that could be to your advantage. Either way, when
it comes to WR, one of these two is a must have. Rookie
Anthony Gonzalez is expected to fill the slot position, and is
worth a pick, but if you want to take a longshot, look at John
Standeford. At 6'4", Standeford makes a nice #3.
Jacksonville
QB- The Jags QB looked to be a
question mark at the end of the year. With a banged up Byron
Leftwich, an up and down David Garrard, and an unproven Quinn
Gray,,,they semmed uncertain of what direction they wanted to
go. They were even considering Dante Culpeper for awhile. But
Coach Jack Del Rio says Byron is the man, and while there is
still some doubts, the possiblity of a top 10 QB is there.
Surprised....the Gnome was. When looking at the combined
numbers from all three QBs last year, the total Fantasy points
would have put the Jacksonville QB just outside the top 10.
Granted Byron is not what you would want as your number 1, but
if he plays 16 games, chances are that he will be in the top
15. A nice backup for sure.
RB-Running Back isn't any easier
for the Fantasy owner. This is a true RBBC, with Fragile Fred
getting the start and MJD (Maurice Jones-Drew) getting the TDs.
The pick here is actually much easier....MJD. Jones-Drew
finished in the top 10 in RBs, thanks to his 13 TDs. While, it
will be hard for him to repat this number if Fred plays as
much as he did last year, odds are MJD will see more
carries...even if he scores a few less TDs. As it is...the
thing that could hurt MJD is a healthy and productive Greg
Jones. Jones could become a TD vulture, but that's a little
unlikely. The Gnome has Fred with 900 yards and 4 TDs, while
he's expecting 1100 and 10 TDs from MJD. Draft accordingly, as
this is one of the league's best running attacks.
WR-If the RBs are RBBC...then the
wideouts are WRBC...Wide Receiver by committee. Jacksonville
had no receivers with more than 700 yards, and the have added
Dennis Northcutt to the mix. Odds on favorite to start are
Matt Jones and Reggie Williams, both only scored 4 TDs last
year. Not a lot to be excited about. Northcutt, while seen as
a deep threat is way too inconsistent a scorer to start exceot
in dire cases. If you have to draft a Jag's receiver, take
Matt Jones and pray that he reaches 900 yards and 6 TDs.
Tennessee
QB- Coach Jeff Fisher should be
considered a miracle worker. After starting 2-7, the Titans
ran off 6 straight wins and finished 8-8, thanks to Coach
Fisher and Rookie Vince Young. Over the last 6 games, Vince
put up Fantasy numbers second only to Peyton. Is this guy the
2nd best QB in Fantsy? Not really...at least not yet. But his
on the field performance is hard to argue with. As with all
"running QBs" Vince has tremendous upside. He could easily
throw for 2500 yards and 20 TDs while running for 700 yards
and 10 TDs. If he puts up those type numbers...and he could
easily do it, then he's a lock to be in the top 5. Still the
Gnome says temper that optimism and rank him just outside the
top 5.
RB-After saying good bye to 1200
yard rusher Travis Henry, the Titans had hoped second year
back LenDale White would be their main runner. Too bad he out
weighs half the offensive line. Fatboy White scared the Titans
into resigning oft injured Chris Brown. As it is the Titans
backfield is a fantasy mess. White should get the starting nod
and could be very productive if he can control his weight.
Brown on the other hand has never lived up to expectations,
and there's doubt he ever will. Remember no one else wanted
him. Keep in mind, the Titans love to run the ball and someone
will get the carries. This could be a great place for a
bargain. Shop wisely.
WR-Good thing the Vince Young can
run, cause his receivers are iffy at best. Since the departure
of Derrick Mason, the Titans seem satisfied living with
questionable receivers. Their top two receivers from last year
are on other squads leaving Brandon Jones (27 catches), David
Givens (8 catches) and Eric Moulds (57 catches) as their top
receivers.
Moulds is old, but has the best hands. Givens has potential,
but has never caught more than 60 passes and remains a health
question. Jones is an unproven commodity. Looking over these
three...Brandon Jones has the most upside, but all three are
late round guesses.
Denver
QB- The Broncos decided 11 games
into last season. that their future would be in the hands of
Jay Cutler. In 5 starts, Cutler threw for 1001 yards and 9 TDs.
Not too bad for a rookie. Expand those numbers to a full
season and you have a top 20 QB. With a 2nd year QB, there's
gonna be ups and downs so the last thing you want is for
Cutler to be your top QB. Now if you could pair him with
another top 15 youngster, you might have something special.
And for those of you in dynasty leagues, Jay is definetly
someone to add to your roster.
RB-Travis Henry just might be the
biggest Fantasy free agent of 2007. Henry is a proven back and
as the number one back in Denver, is the there any way he
won't have 1500 yards. As a starter at both Buffalo and
Tennessee, Henry had seasons of 1400, 1300, & 1200 yards. Last
season with the Titans, Henry averaged 4.5 yards per carry and
had 7 TDs while carrying the ball 270 times. For Henry to be a
top back though, he will have to hold off 2nd year back Mike
Bell. Bell showed some promise at times, but not enough to
keep the starting role. Worth a late round pick, especially
for Henry owners.
WR-Javon Walker finished in the
top 10 thanks almost entirely to Jake Plummer. Too bad Jake's
gone. In games started by Cutler, Javon failed to top 85 yards
and averaged a TD every 3rd game. Not real impressive. As top
ten receivers go, looks like Javon might drop a few slots.
Still someone worth having, but not as a number 1. The rest of
the Broncos' receivers are up in the air. Rod Smith is coming
off hip surgery and will either start or be released. Brandon
Marshall could take over for Rod, which is probably what
Denver wants. The Broncos have also added slot receiver
Brandon Stokely, to go with David Kircus & David Terrill.
Kinda a mess for sure.
Kansas City
QB- Some teams are easy to read,
some teams, like K.C., are really confusing. The Chiefs dumped
their starter for the last few years, Trent Green, and signed
his backup Damon Huard to a nice new contract. After filling
in nicely for Green and with a new contract in hand, it looked
like Huard was the man....but NOOOO. Third stringer Brodie
Croyle looks to be the number 1 guy. Forget the fact that he
only has 1 more completion (3) than interception (2). Could it
be that KC has QB envy from Denver? Let's get a young guy and
hope. Unless you're in a dynasty league....stay away.
RB-K.C.'s running attack is not
much clearer. Larry Johnson should be the second best runner
available...too bad he's sitting things out. Priest is coming
back??? Will he play, will he split time, will he take over if
Larry sits out? You've got to draft Larry...he's just too
good....but where??? The Gnome says....draft him no later than
the 5th RB...and PRAY. Plus, take all those other guys just in
case(Priest, Michael Bennett, and even long shot Kolby Smith)
WR-The Chiefs return both
starting wide receivers, Eddie Kennison and Samie Parker.
Neither of which were very impressive in 2006. Combined they
only put up 1300 yards and 6 TDs. Hardly enough to rate more
than a late round pick for Kennison and a pass on Parker. As
it has been for the past few years, the best receiver is TE
Tony Gonzalez. Tony had 900 receiving yards and 5 TDs and was
the Chiefs top pass catcher. Dynasty leagues should look
at Dewayne Bowe, but don't expect this hold out to produce
much this season.
Oakland
QB- If you thought last season
for Oakland was messy, 2007 isn't a lot better. Number 1
overall pick JaMarcus Russell won't be in camp in time to do
much this year. If you can't keep him at least 3 years, forget
him. You can't start him before the 2009 season at the
earliest. With the signing of Dante Culpepper, the Raiders
might have someone worth drafting if he's healthy. Dante's not
washed up yet, but he'll need to have a healthy set of wheels,
'cause the Raiders O-Line is worse that the Dolphins were last
year. Oakland gave up 72 sacks last season. If Dante's knee
isn't healthy now, it sure won't be 6 games into the season.
IF you take him, make him #3 on your depth chart.
RB-Without much of a line, LaMont
Jordan struggled last year. Because of that, the Raiders
signed Dominic Rhodes, who proceeded to live up to the Raider
mystic and get suspended for the first 4 games. Because of
these dynamics, both backs could be late round stretch picks
that payoff. If Jordan starts hot, maybe you could trade him
week 1-2, before Rhodes comes back. Rhodes on the other hand
should be had for almost nothing since most will simply bypass
him. Could be good value, but don't draft either too soon.
WR-The starting receivers for the
Raiders at this time seem to be Ronald Curry and Jerry Porter.
While Porter is better known and possibly more talented, he's
too much of a head case. Last year, it seemed like no one
wanted him as both the Raiders & Pats cut him. The better
fantasy option is Ronald Curry. Based on his stats in the last
6 games, Curry would have been a top 30 WR. While that might
be a stretch, he could make a nice #4 if Culpepper can return
to form. if you are looking for a stretch pick then Mike
Williams makes for a nice long shot.
San Diego
QB- Philip Rivers is not one of
the Gnome's favorites but it's hard to argue with his
production. Based on his 2006 numbers, Rivers would have been
a top 10 QB, but a telling stat is that in the last 6 games of
the season, Rivers was only ranked #20. While that might be a
little low,Rivers is a questionable #1. He would make a great
#2 but his youth and his unimpressive receivers worries the
Gnome. Plus, the Chargers don't normally need to pass alot.
RB-Ladainian is number 1 pure and
simple. The top RB, the top Fantasy player, the reason a lot
of people won their leagues. Now there's almost no chance he
will put up 31 TDs, but 20 plus TDs is a good number. As with
most #1 backs, repeating back to back is tough, but if anyone
can L.T. is the man. From the Gnome's point of view...get L.T.
at any cost.
WR-Eric Parker and Vincent
Jackson will start for the Chargers at wide out and of the
two, Jackson has shown the most potential. While he didn't
finish in the top 50 for the season, he's last six weeks,
accounted for two thirds of his points. If he could maintain
those numbers then he would be a nice #2 or #3. But for the
Chargers, it Antonio Gates that you really want as a receiver.
Gates is clearly the top TE, and would be a top receiver when
combined with WRs. If you can't get L.T., get Gates.
Dallas
QB- Let me tell you , the Gnome
is not a Cowboy fan, never really cared for them, but this is
Fantasy and who you cheer for has no bearing on draft day.
With that said, Dallas's QB Tony Romo looks like a top 10 QB.
Not only was he a ProBowl selection, but in the final six
games of the season, Romo put up more points than Brees,
Palmer, and Vick. In those 6 games, Tony threw 11 TDs and 1500
yards. If he can come close to maintaining those numbers
in 2007, he's a lock for top 10.
RB-Julius Jones had almost twice
as many carries as Marion Barber, but Barber got all the
fantasy points, thanks
to his 16 TDs. While all the attention is focused on Barber,
don't overlook Jones. As a 1000 yard rusher, he would make a
nice number 3 and could even be a number 2 in large leagues.
Barber will go earlier than he should, it's doubtful he put up
another 16 TDs, 10 are more likely. But this is the
Cowboys and people seem to love that star. As it is both
should be considered top 30 backs.
WR-Despite what you make think
about him, T.O. is a fantasy receiver you should draft.
Finishing second only to Marvin, Owens is clearly a top 5
wideout and the Cowboys seem set on keeping him in the top 5.
With Romo at QB, Owens has someone he can badger into throwing
the ball his way, even if he's not open. Don't let his back
spasms scare you, this is the same ploy he pulled last
training camp....remember the stationary bike? T.O. is a
gamer, he will play when it's time and he will score, 'cause
everyone is afraid not to get him the ball. Across from
T.O., Terry Glenn is himself a top 20 WR. Glenn had 70 catches
for 1047 yard and 6 TDs. The one thing about Glenn is that he
tends to have monster games and then almost disappears. If you
can handle is inconsistent scoring, then he makes a great
number 3. Backup Patrick Clayton is a nice late rounder who
should see more than 36 catches this season.
New York Giants
QB- Eli may never be as good as
Peyton, but he's not chopped liver either. Ranked inside the
top 15 Eli threw for over 3000 yards and 24 TDs. Entering his
fourth season, more will be expected of him and the big
question is can he deliver. Not only is Coach Coughlin on a
bit of the hot seat, but Eli is as well. Without Tiki to turn
to, the Giants need a leader and that mantel has to belong to
Eli. From a fantasy point of view, Eli makes a great number 2
and if INTs don't count, he could be a number 1. The Giants
will throw more this year and Eli will have a chance to break
the 3500 yard mark. With a new QBs coach, special attention is
being made to improve this former top pick and he's someone
that has yet to reach his potential.
RB-Without Tiki, it's up to
Brandon Jacobs and Rueben Droughns to provide the Giants with
a running game. Coach Coughlin is very predictable when it
comes to running the ball near the goal line. Going back to
his days in Jacksonville, Coughlin believes in pounding the
ball with a big back and Jacobs fits the bill perfectly. The
fact that should be the starter only adds to his value.In his
two seasons Jacobs has scored 16 rushing TDs and he could
double that total this season if he stays healthy. For TD
leagues this is a top 10 back. Droughns will get his share of
carries as well. Even though he struggled there's no one else
to turn to and Droughns still has a little left in the tank.
The Gnome sees it this way, Jacobs 1000 yards and 14 TDs,
Droughns 800 yards and 4TDs.
WR-For the receivers, there's an
extra 50 passes someone will have to pick up now that Tiki's
gone. TE Jeremy Shockey is the likely candidate, but he's a
bit of a health question. Still, he could return to a top 5 TE
status and is definitely one of Eli's first options. You
should also expect Plaxico to break the 1000 yard mark like he
did in 2005. As was stated earlier, the Giants will need to
throw more and these two should get the lion's share of
receptions. But don't overlook Amani Toomer. This veteran adds
stability and takes a lot of pressure off both Plaxico and
Eli. Youngster Steve Smith is battling Sinorice Moss for the
number 3 slot and a chance to be the future go to guy.
Philadelphia
QB- Dovovan McNabb started last
season off as one the absolute best QBs around. In only 10
games he outperformed two-thirds of the starters for the
entire season. But then that injury thing caught up with him
and he was sidelined for the second have of the year. In his
first nine games, McNabb was averaging 280 yards and 2 TDs per
game. Over a full 16 that's 4400 yards and 32 TDs. You know
what...that works. While most will shy away from McNabb,,,,go
after him with reckless abandon. If you can't get Peyton,
Brees, or Bulger, this is the guy. Just remember to get a good
solid backup (or two).
RB-Brian Westbrook has had a
continuous battle. First he was too small, then he couldn't be
an every down back, then it was that he was injury prone. The
latest is that he' worn out and his knees are shot. While all
those could be somewhat true, it's hard to argue with his
production. The Gnome admits Westbrook is a back that scares
him, but there's no way he doesn't rank in the top 10. As one
of the Eagles best receivers, Westbrook seems to be a lock
for 700 receiving yard and if can come close to 1,000 rushing
yards( 1200 last year), then he should continue to be a nice
number one. TDs may not be as plentiful ad the Eagles would
like to use Correll Buckhalter, but this is a guy who's banged
up more than McNabb & Westbrook combined. Instead focus on
Tony Hunt as the TD vulture and future of the Eagles running
attack.
WR-The Eagles spent a bunch of
money to sign Kevin Curtis in hopes that they would finally
get someone to pair up with Reggie Brown. You have to like a
couple of thing about Curtis. First, after four years
with the Rams, you know he's used to having the ball thrown
around. Second, he doesn't have T.O.'s mouth or Donte
Stallworth's hammy. A lot of folks will have this guy as a
reach or a sleeper. Don't. He's a legitimate #2 on a real
passing team. Move him up on your board. As to Reggie Brown,
he's Philly's top receiver and should rank right around 20.
Entering that magical third season, Reggie could really
blossom. With a healthy McNabb, Brown could pass the 1000 yard
mark for the first time in his career. With 1000 yards is a
real shot at 10 TDs (he had 8 last year). A healthy McNabb
could spell a lot of receiver points for the Eagles.
Washington
QB- The Gnome was shocked. Jason
Campbell ranked in the top 15 the last 6 weeks of the season.
Somehow that just doesn't seem right. If the numbers are right
Campbell would be a top backup in a ten team league, but the
Gnome doesn't care he's no that good...not yet. When you look
at the Redskins passing offense, they ranked 23rd in yards
(and Mark Brunell had 60% of that). If Campbell could
reproduce those numbers in 2007 it would above expectations
(3000 yards & 17 TDs) in his first full year as a starter.
Don't expect him to finish in the top 20 for the year...that
would really shock the Gnome.
RB-The Redskins have a fantasy
mess at running back. Clinton Portis is still struggling with
a knee issue and his backup, Ladell Betts looked so good last
year, it would be hard to not give him the ball. With a 4.7
average per carry, Betts put up 1154 yards. That's a better
average per carry than any Portis has had since he left
Denver. With that in mind, expect Washington to give Portis
plenty of time to get healthy, meaning Betts should see the
majority of carries the first few weeks of the season. From
there, it's anybody's guess. From a fantasy draft point of
view, Betts has the most value, at least as a known commodity.
Plus Betts is the better receiver so he will see plenty of
third down situations. As backwards as it seems, draft Portis
as a handcuff to Betts, or trade for him when someone drafts
him too high and he sits out the first couple of weeks.
WR-Last season it was pretty much
a toss up between Santana Moss and TE Chris Cooley as to who
was the best Redskins receiver. Cooley really came to life
with Campbell as QB. During the last six weeks of the season,
only Gates was a more valuable TE. Since neither had more than
800 receiving yards it's hard not to consider Cooley as the
most desirable Redskins receiver and the higher ranked player
in leagues that require TE. Moss, has only topped 1000 yards
twice in his career and shouldn't be someone you depend on
weekly, since he tends to score in bunches. The rest of the
redskins receivers are fill-ins at best. Randel-El will see
15-20 carries to go with his 40-45 receptions and Brandon
Lloyd is an overpriced free agent bust.
Chicago
QB- The Good Grossman versus the
Bad Grossman. Which will be the starting QB for the Bears in
2007? The truth is probably both will see time under center.
For the first part of 2006, Rex was a fantasy darling. From
then on he was on and off having either a big game or throwing
pick after pick. By the end of the season he had thrown 3100
yards, 23 TDs and 20 picks. Ranking in the middle of the pack
in yards thrown and 9th in TDs, Rex could be a nice backup,
but his inconsistency will scare off most, so if you can get
him as your third, then great move.
RB-The Bears have decided that
Cedric Benson would be their main ball carrier. As a part
timer in 2006, Benson put up 647 yards and 6 TDs on only 157
carries. Based on an estimated 300 carries, he would have been
over 1200 yards and 12 TDs. good enough numbers to rank in the
top 20. Now it's time to see if that past number one pick can
pay off for Chicago. While Benson will get the majority of the
carries, scatback Garrett Wolfe could be an interesting late
rounder. Wolfe is lightning in a bottle. While he is probably
too small to be an every down back, he could be exciting to
cheer for...just don't expect
too many touches.
WR-Bernard Berrian and Mushin
Muhammad both finished just outside the top 30, mostly due to
Rex's struggles. Berrian started out like gangbusters, scoring
half his total points in the first five weeks. After that,
injuries and Bad Grossman put the clamps on him. Mushin shaw a
slight increase over his 2006 numbers, but at 34 he's seen his
best days. Don't expect him to crack the top 30. Rookie TE
Greg Olsen could be a nice player with a bright future. Even
though he's listed as #2 on the depth chart, the Bears plan to
use him a lot.
Detroit
QB- QB Jon Kitna has really taken
to Mike Martz's offense finishing the season as a top 10
Fantasy QB. For Kitna, 2007 could be an even better year now
that rookie Drew Stanton is done for the season. Kitna threw
for 4200 yards and 21 TDs. The 22 INTs, were not encouraging,
but he should get that under control this year. Throwing for
over 200 yards in all but 1 game, Kitna is an every game
starter and has a chance to put up numbers equal to Bulger or
Carson Palmer.
RB-RB Kevan Jones rushed for 689
yards and 6 TDs plus he had 500 receiving yards. All this in
12 games. Jones is sidelined with a foot injury and is
questionable for week 1. The real back to look at is Tatum
Bell. While Bell disappointed Fantasy owners last season in
Denver, he should shine on the turf in Detroit. Bell has the
break away speed Jones never showed and his receiving ability
is at least on par with Jones. Bell has a real shot at 1700
combined yards, although he could lose some goal line carries
to either Jones or recently acquired T.J.Duckett.
WR-Both Roy Williams and Mike
Furrey had over 1000 yards receiving and at least 6 TDs, while
ranking in the top 20 of WRs. Williams topped the 1000 yard
mark for the first time in his career and should only get
better under Martz's system. Expect him to stay in the top 10,
and make a great number one on most squads. Furrey is a
different story. While he lead the team with 98 catches, odds
are he will be demoted, at least part way through the season,
to the number three slot. That's because phenom Calvin Johnson
is too good and too expensive to sit. As a rookie, Johnson
will struggle, but the hype is real, so if you want him, draft
him early. He probably won't outscore Furrey his first year,
but look out. Furrey on the other hand will still put up nice
numbers and get a ton of catches, but 98 is too much to
expect.
Green Bay
QB- Favre is back again, and
chances are he will finish in the top 10 as he did in 2006.
For the first time in years, Brett threw for under 20 TDs.
While that was a little low, he did reduce his INTs from 29 to
18. Favre is a Hall of Famer, but his days as MVP are done. He
tends to be hot and cold putting up big numbers or struggling,
so if you need a consistent scorer, you might look elsewhere.
Still, he's capable of 300 yards and 3 TDs against anybody,
and he will almost certainly be used as a number one in most
leagues. Expect 3900 yards, 21 TDs, and 19 INTS. Oh, and
expect he'll start every game...he may even be back in 2008.
RB-Vernand Morency is scheduled
to be this year's starter for the Pack. Morency averaged 4.6
yards per carry on 91 carries last year, but for now it looks
like he could miss all the preseason due to a knee injury. For
now, rookie Brandon Jackson is running with the starters and
could a threat to keeping the starting job. At worse it looks
like the ol' RBBC with Morency and Jackson splitting carries.
If you're a gambler, DeShawn Wynn is someone to take a shot
at. Wynn has the size and speed to make it in the NFL and
could be better than either Morency or Jackson.
WR-Wideout Donald Driver finished 2006 in the top 5 and
a chance to play in the Pro Bowl. Leading the Pack with 92
receptions and almost 1300 yards, Driver was a fantasy stud.
He really seemed to take off when rookie
Greg Jennings went down. Each of the last three season, Driver
has had 1200 yards so he should break 1000 at a minimum. Add
in 7 TDs and he should finish 2007 in the top 10. If anything
cuts into Driver's value, it's a healthy Greg Jennings.
Jennings is a deep threat that can put up some nice numbers
for a second year player. Third rounder James Jones is
battling for the 3rd receiver role and is worth a late pick.
Minnesota
QB- The Vikes will open the year
with second year QB Tavaris Jackson at the helm. Jackson
started the final three games and threw for 440 yards, 2 TDs,
& 4 INTS. Not something to brag about. If you're in a dynasty
league, Jackson
might have some value but for 2007, the Gnome is looking at
Jackson as one of the lowest ranked starters and someone your
hope your not stuck with. On a plus side, he is a running QB
so he has a shot at 5 or 6 rushing TDs. Depending on scoring,
that could be a redeeming quality.
RB-Without an experienced QB and
a defensive minded coach, the Vikes will run and run, and run
some more. Having a top O-line only adds to their desire to
run. Last season Chester Taylor rushed over 300 times for 1200
yards and 6 TDs. Enough to rank him in the top 15. Too bad he
won't repeat those numbers,
not because of his lack of abilities, but because of Adrian
Peterson. Taking a page out of the Saints playbook, the Vikes
will use Taylor and Peterson like the Saints used McAllister
and Bush. It makes for a nice 1-2 punch, but it hurts fantasy
owners. Dynasty owners should look at Peterson as one of the
top available players, but for 2007 he will be lucky to break
1000 combined yards. Taylor on the other hand should break the
1000 yard barrier, but will probably not be in the top 15. All
in all, both will be respectable number 3 RBs on your depth
chart.
WR-For the Vikes, it looks like
Troy Williamson and Bobby Wade will be the starting wideouts.
With the youngster Jackson at QB, it's hard to imagine either
of these finishing the year in the top 30. In fact, it's
questionable if either will find their way into your starting
lineup. If for some strange reason you feel compelled to draft
a Vikings receiver, then Wade is your guy. At least he's got a
good set of hands, unlike Williamson who had some impressive
drops last year.
Atlanta
QB- What to do here? Will Michael
Vick ever play for the Falcons again? Will he ever play in the
NFL again? Will he end up in jail? And what about Joey
Harrington. The Gnome sees it this way....in today's
politically correct world...harming animals is about as bad as
it gets. Good thing he wasn't smoking in a non-smoking
area....Still, it's rare that high profile people do any
serious time. If found guilty, Vick may have to do a couple of
months, but it would almost guarantee a 1 year suspension.
Odds are, unless he's totally cleared, he's done with
the Falcons, done for 2007, and 2008 is a question. For now,
it's Joey Harrington's job as ugly as that sounds. In 11
starts last year for the 'Fins, Joey threw for 2200 yards, 12
TDs, & 15 Picks. Averaged across the whole season, Harrington
would not have been a top 20 QB. And now with a new team, in a
new system that he seems to be struggling with, and all new
coaches....it's hard to picture him inside the top 20. For
those in Dynasty leagues, Vick will surface again. For the
rest of you, draft two good QBs before you think about adding
Joey to your roster.
RB-Warrick Dunn is 32 years old
and coming off back surgery. Nobody will want him....that
means you should try and steal him as a 3rd or 4th RB, cause a
healthy Dunn will put up another 1,000 yards...even at 32. For
now all the hype is about Jerious Norwood. Norwood was
exciting with his 6.4 yards per average. He had a couple of
highlight runs that will have owners vaulting him up on their
draft board. While Norwood looks sexy, and may be the starter
next season...Dunn will outscore him in 2007. As both Dunn &
Norwood are scatbacks, RB/FB Jason Snelling is a bruiser
that will see a lot of goal line and short yardage work.
WR-Even if the Falcons had a QB,
the wide receivers would be an iffy bunch. Last year, no
Falcon WR had more than 40 catches...rather it was TE Alge
Crumpler who was the leading receiver. The addition of Joe
Horn would have been great, 6 years ago, but at 35, it's
doubtful he'll play a full 16 and even more doubtful with Joey
throwing him the ball, that he'll top 1000 yards. As it is,
take Alge as the Falcons top receiver and a top 5 TE.
Carolina
QB- Jake Delhomme was a bit of a
disappointment last season, as was the way the Panthers season
ended. Alot of people had the Panthers as a top contender and
Jake as a possible top 10 QB. After looking over Jake's
number's
maybe he wasn't quite as big a disappointment. In 13 games
last year, Jake put up enough points to rank in the top 20
(barely), but if you take his average per start, he would have
been on par with Pennington, McNair, & Losman.
Acceptable backup numbers. For 2007, Jake should have a little
better numbers, but he's still not quite a top 10 QB. The loss
of Keyshawn will hurt him a bit, so he will have to depend on
Steve Smith. Of course there's a lot worse
options to be stuck with.
RB-The Panthers did not look real
impressive running the ball last year. Even though both
DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams averaged at least 4 yards
a carry. Neither broke 1000 yards. Right now, Foster looks to
retain his starting role, but the hype is over the Panthers
new zone blocking scheme and DeAngelo's ability to run behind
that scheme. For the Panthers, durability has seemed to be a
problem all the way back to Tim Biakabutuka, and both Foster &
Williams have some health concerns. It looks like the Panthers
will depend on both to have one solid back, so here's another
RBBC. Expect DeAngelo to finshe the year with a slight edge
over Foster, say 850 yards to 700, but it will be a surprise
if either break 1000 yards.
WR-With Keyshawn gone, it will be
Steve Smith all the time. Smith should return to his 2005
numbers, recording at least 100 catches for 1500 yards. As the
Panthers only receiving threat, he should easily score double
digits in TDs, putting him right in the top 5 or 6. Drew
Carter will start opposite Smith, but he's merely a place
holder till Keyshawn-clone Dwayne Jarrett is ready. Jarrett
will be a respectable pick for dynasty leagues, but like
Keyshawn, he's more hype and mouth than substance. So the pick
here is easy take Steve Smith and watch the points role in.
New Orleans
QB- Folks knew Drew Brees was up
and coming, but his monster year in 2006 caught fantasy owners
by surprise. Few if any figured he would be the second ranked
QB. especially with a new team and a lot of inexperienced
receivers. Brees really took off weeks 6 through 12 and was as
consistent as any QB in the league. The Gnome himself was a
little surprised with Brees's performance and expects a slight
decline in 2007. While Brees should finish in the top 5,
expecting 4400 yards and 24 Tds, might be a bit much.
Especially the yardage, On a plus side for Fantasy plays, the
Saints D is looking weak, again, so the Saints will have to
score to stay iin the game. Brees should put up a nice 4000
yards and 20+ TDs, enough to keep non-Peyton owners proud.
RB-If a RBBC works, then last
year's Saints worked it to perfection. Deuce McAllister and
Reggie Bush both finished in the top 15, and could do so again
in 2007. McAllister finished with 275 touches to Bush's 243,
thanks in large part to Reggie's 88 receptions. Both were so
successful, it's had to imagine the Saints making many
changes. Deuce will still get the first and second down
carries, plus the all important goal line opportunities.
Reggie will see time on third downs, long yardage, and to
spell Deuce. While you might see both in at the same time,
it's Bush who will normally go in motion. A linebacker's
nightmare. Bush is almost as valuable as a decoy, thanks to
his breakaway ability. Either will be nice number 2 RBs in
your line up, but you've got to love the excitement Reggie
brings,
WR-As surprises go, none were
close to Marques Colston. It's doubtful that this 7th round
rook was even drafted in any but the deepest leagues. Colston
came out of nowhere to lead the Saints with 70 receptions and
8 TDs. If not for an injury that kept him out of the better
part of 3 games, Colston would have finished in the top 10. Be
careful here though... while a sophomore slump is doubtful,
over hype is a reality. Colston will probably drafted 3 or 4
WRs too high, so be mindful. Be careful not to take him ahead
of veterans Donald Driver & T.J. Who's Your Mama. Opposite
Colston, will most likely be Devery Henderson, although the
Saints are letting Terrance Copper battle for the spot. Either
or both should not be considered above a number three, but
both could put up 700 yards and 4-5 scores. Rookie Robert
Meachem is a burner who will struggle for significant playing
time but has a nice future.
Tampa Bay
QB- Coach Gruden collects QBs
like kids used to collect baseball cards. Even though he
failed to add Jake Plummer to his stable, Jeff Garcia came
running. After finishing strong in 2006, Garcia looks like
that guy that once lead the Niners. At 37, Garcia still has a
little left in the tank, and could be a nice fit in Gruden
offense. Remember what Rich Gannon did under Gruden. Problem
is, he doesn't have Jerry Rice and Time Brown. Still there's
enough talent on this squad and enough familiarity with the
offense for Garcia to make a run at the top 15. A nice backup
with a little upside.
RB-In his second year, Carnell
Williams returned to earth. All those so-called experts had
the Caddy running wild, but not the Gnome. Most of Williams
yards his rookie season had come late in the game on long
runs, not the way to pile up yardage as a starter. Over hyped
in 2006, Williams is now under valued by most owners. Maybe
they felt burned last year. Caddy should be a top 25 RB and no
one is looking at him. Thanks mostly to an upgrade in QB and
improvement in the O-line, Williams should put up at least
1000 rushing yards and add another 300 receiving yards. Back
up Michael Pittman will still see 250 touches but the
retirement of Alstott means Pittman could get a few short TDs.
Keep an eye on Ken Darby. Darby has a shot at making an impact
if the Caddy goes down.
WR-At the tender age of 35, Joey
Galloway is clearly the Bucs top receiver. Don't be too
frightened by his age, remember Gruden coached both Rice &
Brown at the end of their careers, and Galloway has had back
to back 1000 yard season. Even at his age, Joey should get
1000 yards and 7 TDs. The other starting spot is up for grabs
right now. The Bucs are disappointed with Michael Clayton who
only had 33 receptions last season. Second year golden domer
Maurice Stovall is listed as a starter on the depth
charts....for now. But, it you what a reach, and can stand the
grief from other owners, mutant David Boston could be your
guy. The coaches have had nothing but good things to say about
this guy...but it's a reach for sure.
Arizona
QB- Everyone had the Cards as a
sleeper pick, and while they saw improvement, it was too much
to expect that they would make the playoffs. Again in 2007,
they are a sexy pick, but maybe for a real reason. With 12
starts under his belt Matt Leinart could end up a top 20 QB.
Considering his targets, it would be a disappointment if he
doesn't. Matt threw for 2500 yards in '06, but threw 1 more
INT(12) than TD(11). Granted, as a rookie, you couldn't have
expected much better, but he needs to turn that around in '07.
Pluses for Matt are that you know he'll pay as long as he's
healthy, the Cards D is middle of the road at best, so the
Cards will have to throw, and he's got great WRs.
RB-When the Cards brought in the
Edge, no one realized that 80% of every rush would go to
James. Including QBs, Leinart's 22 caries ranked second behind
Edge's 337. Talk about a workhorse. Because of a questionable
O-line, James' average yards per attempt was under 4 for only
the second time in his career. At just 29, Edge still has some
gas left in the tank and has a chance to return to the top 20
if the Cards can get their blocking going. That's were
assistant Coach Russ Grimm will pay off. On a plus side, in 3
of Edge's last 5 games he rushed for over 100 yards, so maybe
the Cards can sustain that effort. Behind Edge, there's no
one, s0 don't waste your time. If you want an Arizona RB, it's
Edge.
WR-The combination of Anquan
Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald are two of the most talented, most
physically gifted receivers in the league. Both finished in
the top 25 even though Fitzgerald missed 3 games. Often they
are lumped together, but there is a difference. Boldin is more
of a big play receiver while Fitz is their got to guy in the
red zone. Because of that, Fitz will have more TDs and Boldin
will have a bigger average per reception. When it comes to
ranking them, Fitz gets the edge, because of the TDs and
should finish in the top 15. Only a few spots below, Boldin
will end up with 1200 yards and a half dozen TDs. Third
receiver Bryant Johnson is a solid receiver, especially since
they really don't have much at tight end.
San Francisco
QB- Alex Smith has made nice
progress since being drafted first overall in 2005. Last
season Alex threw for almost 2900 yards and just inside the
top 20. For 2007, Alex should see measurable improvement.
First the addition of WR Darryl Jackson is an upgrade over
anyone the Niners had last year. Second, a healthy Vernon
Davis gives Alex a receiver across the middle. Smith threw 16
TDs, but he also threw 16 INTs. Alex should be seen as a lower
tier number 2 QB with a nice upside. With the Niners on the
verge of making it into the playoff hunt, Alex cannot afford
many setbacks.
RB-While folks knew about Frank
Gore, few expected he would add 1000 yards to his 2005 total.
With a combined 2100 yards and 9 TDs, Gore finished the year
ranked in the top 5 and is one of the hottest players
available. Gore is a lock first rounder in all Fantasy
drafts.Gore should duplicate his 2006 numbers and could even
see a slight bump due to an increase in TDs. Backing up Gore
is former Penn St. QB Michael Robinson. Robinson is a unique
player but no threat to Gore's playing time.
WR-The Niners went out added a
couple of veteran wide outs in Darryl Jackson and Ashley Lelie.
Jackson, in particular, was a super move. Not only is he
better than anyone on last year's receiver corps, but he's a
subtraction for division foe Seattle. Jackson has had some
knocks against him, both because of his health & because of a
number of drops. But, Jackson will give Alex Smith a real
threat and someone he should depend on. Jackson has the best
chance of any Niners receiver to record a 1000 yard season,
but that's a bit of a question. While Ashey Lelie would like
to think he's a top caliber receiver, his opinion is over
inflated. Right now, Lelie isn't even a starter, that role
belongs to Arnex Battle. Battle led the Niners in receptions
last year, and makes a respectable number 2 for them. From a
Fantasy point of view, he's a 5th at best.
Seattle
QB- QB Matt Hasselbeck only
played in 12 games last year, but still threw for 2400 yards
and 18 TDs. Matt is a better QB than his 2006 averages and
should see a return to form in 2007. Still in his early 30's
Hasselbeck should throw for 3300 yards and 20+ TDs. Matt
should be ranked at the end of the top 10 and will make a nice
number 1 for most Fantasy owners. If you do draft Matt, follow
him up with an above average number 2. Matt normally misses a
game or two but not enough to worry or draft Seneca Wallace.
RB-Coming off 1900 yards and 27
TDs in 2005, expectations for Shaun Alexander were sky high. A
foot injury and 6 missed games later, Alexander's expectations
have fallen. Shaun had a career low in average yards per carry
and for the first time was less than 4 yards per attempt. That
foot really bothered Shaun, but it looks like he is healthy
and you can expect Shaun to return to form or at least close
to it. Shaun is now 30 so age is beginning to sneak up on him.
Also those 27 rushing TDs in 2005 were such a jump from the
norm, it's doubtful he'll see that again. Instead, you should
expect 1500 yards and 15 TDs, easily good enough to be a top
Fantasy back on any roster. Backup Maurice Morris makes a nice
handcuff, but wasn't the answer
for the Seahawks when Shaun went down.
WR-The Seahawks let Darryl
Jackson, their top receiver last season go, so it will be up
to former Patriot Deion Branch to pick up the load. Branch
received a lot of hype due to his high profile catches in the
playoffs, but he has never had a 1000 yard season. While all
the experts are looking as Branch as a top 12, but the Gnome
is not that high on him...top 25 maybe, but not top 12.
Instead, the Seahawks top receiver could be D.J.Hackett.
Granted Hackett's not a top 12 either, but over the final 6
games of the season, he basically doubled Branch's Fantasy
production. Hackett's not quite a sleeper, but he's easily
overlooked. Treat him as a top 30 guy and draft accordingly.
Bobby Engram and Nate Burleson have some value in deep
leagues, but not alot. Engram is a possession and 3rd down guy
and Burleson hasn't done much since leaving Minnesota.
St. Louis
QB- Marc Bulger may not be
running a Mike Martz offense anymore, but he's still a top 5
QB. Last season, Bulger threw for 4300 yards, 24 TDs and only
8 INTs. In half of his starts, Bulger threw for over 300
yards. With only Peyton and Brees ahead of him, Bulger makes a
top notch QB and definite early pick. It might be surprising
to know that 2006 was the fist time Bulger played in all 16
games, so get a respectable backup. Even more surprising, was
that he set a career high in yards, attempts, completions and
TDs. Who needs Mike Martz?
RB-If anyone is going to
challenge Ladainian it's Steven Jackson. Jackson rushed for
over 1500 yards and 13 TDs. He added another 3 scores on
passes and has set a lofty goal of 2000+ combined yards in
2007. Jackson is a nice combination of speed and power and
he's quite capable of reaching that goal. If you've go the
seond pick in the draft, this is your guy. Otherwise he'll be
off the board...or you need to let the Gnome join your league.
Behind Jackson, rookie Brian Leonard will get a few carries.
Most consider Leonard a fullback, but trust me, this guy is a
real runner. He's faster than most realize and quick to the
hole. In some ways he brings a lot of the same things Jackson
does, and he's only a step slower considering his 4.49 in the
40.
WR-Tory Holt and Issac Bruce are
still one of the pair of receivers in the NFL. Both had of
1000 receiving yards and both had over 70 catches. Holt is
clearly the stud here with almost 1200 yards and 10 TDs, he
ranked just outside the top 5. Once Chad, the Colts, and T.o.
are taken, expect Holt to be the next WR to come of the board.
At 35, Bruce is almost done. he's still a capable number 3,
ranking 25th, but his health and is age is a worry. Don't
expect him to do much better than 14 games and 900 yards. The
Rams have added Drew Bennett as Bruce's future replacement.
Bennett is both tall and fast, and would make a great
compliment to Holt. As the year goes on expect more Bennet and
less Bruce.
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